Poston. Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. Compared to other top players, he has much less experience at Bay Hillplaying here just once, finishing T-49 in 2015. WMPO: Sungjae Im. Honda: Chris Kirk. For a deeper dive into the course, read myArnold Palmer Invitational preview. As the elevated events have proven thus far in 2023, these loaded fields do not bode well for the outright prospects of longshots. Kim has already shown flashes of greatness in his career, so dont be afraid to back the 20-year-old at a number like this even in a dynamite field. While Fowler didnt pull off the victory, he played quite well, outperforming his long odds to finish the tournament at 10 under, nine shots off Scottie Schefflers winning score and good enough for a T10, which means if you bet on him to finish in the top 10 as we did, you made a little money. 5 Second Chance Bets up to $50. Big South Tournament Odds: UNC Asheville, Longwood Knotted Atop Betting Market. Im not going to stand here and pretend Im not terrified of Luke Lists putting prospects this week, considering he has now gone 18 consecutive events since he last gained on the greens. After two Shipping on most Impact Label products Click on odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. The event tees off Thursday, and Rahm is the 7-1 favorite in the latest 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The intangible Im looking for from players inside the arena at TPC Scottsdale is an ability to perform in a high pressure atmosphere, and Steele has displayed poise in big moments, finishing top-15 at the PGA Championship and THE PLAYERS last season. OVC Tournament Odds: Just How Vulnerable Is Morehead State? The Argentinian was right in the mix all week and tied for second. Recent history says a star will win this weekend, but that doesnt mean we cant take a look at three sleepers with a chance to pull an upset. Mix in the fact hes gone fifth-eighth-15th-13th in his last four starts at API and youve got the recipe for a Florida Swing heater. McIlroy has gained strokes putting at Bay Hill in four of his past five trips, which has translated to one win, four top-10s and no finish worse than T-13. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). Top-10 Tony has four top-10 finishes in his past seven starts and seven top-20s in that span. Start the Golf Season off right with InsideGOLF ($100 value - just $20). Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Like Lowry, Fleetwood is built to contend at events like this. There is no one way to attack TPC Scottsdale, however a profile of elite ball striking has been the common thread amongst contenders here over the years. WebChris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015, outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death playoff. He lost more than seven strokes putting in his latest start. Generally speaking, this is not a week Im giving longshots much of a chance to contend. Yes, this is a tough field, but Lowry is not the type you write off in these spots. 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. Combine that with his form and I think hes in line for another great showing. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. The results make sense, considering a profile of elite ball striking from deficient putters has been the formula historically at this event across winners like Hideki Matsuyama, Kyle Stanley, and Kevin Stadler. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our red-hot experts make a consensus bet, thanks to Christopher Powers 30-1 win on Chris Kirk last week, Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge: Challenger/Champion, create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National. Genesis: Justin Thomas. Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content) LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2023 Mayakoba. Designed by John Steidel, China Creek Golf Course measures 2627 Complete 2023 College Basketball Conference Tournament Schedule, MGC Extends Deadline For Diversity, Kiosk Studies, Minnesota Lawmakers Advance HF 2000 In House Committee. Should he pull off a victory, he could turn a $10 bet into $550. The second leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs takes us to Wilmington, Delaware for the first time in PGA TOUR history, as we head to the South course at Wilmington Country Club for potential longshot BMW READ MORE: Which college basketball teams are bettors cashing in on? Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 28, 2023 For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, follow. Rory McIlroy has become a horse at The Kings place, finishing 13th or better in seven of eight appearances. For our complete review, visit Bay Hill's Places to Play page here. Tiger Woods will make his long-awaited return, The embarrassing reason Adam Scott wont be at the Phoenix Open, he also won the Genesis Invitational in 2020, Tour Confidential: Tiger Woods return, designated events, Augusta changes, 'Absolutely horrendous': Xander Schauffele explains Bay Hill's juicy rough, How LIV Golf's ratings fared in its network TV debut, Arnold Palmer Invitational betting guide: 8 picks our expert loves at Bay Hill, Former FedEx Cup champ a great long-shot bet at Bay Hill: 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, Honda Classic betting guide: 8 picks our expert loves at PGA National, Defending champ is our long-shot bet at PGA National: 2023 Honda Classic odds, Tiger, Bones and bros: 13 observations from 14 straight days on Tour, Tiger Woods and one of the sweetest gestures you'll see as told by the 9-year-old recipient, Tiger Woods disciples, new LIV signees, PGA Tour money | Monday Finish, Tiger Woods is nearing and battling The End, Big names make big gear changes at the Genesis Invitational | Wall-to-Wall Equipment. Follow him on Twitter: @ThePME. Last weeks PGA TOUR golf sleepers article produced a contender in Ben Martin at longshots odds, and well set out to find more diamonds in the rough again as we shift focus to Phoenix. Hes trending toward another victory. That makes the John Deere one of the weakest field events of the year -- but that doesn't mean there isn't money to be made betting it. Add in Gdula and Stephen Hennesseys Tony Finau (16-1) winner at the Houston Open in the Fall and that gives the panel four outright hits on the 2022-23 season. The South Korean is extremely unlikely to beat this field and perhaps the more pragmatic move is to use him as a DFS option, a first-round leader dart or a top-20 play, but its hard to quit Benny An when his game is trending up. We provide this information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only. Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 WM Phoenix Open. And while hes only played in two PGA Tour events this season (29th at the Sentry Tournament of Champions and T21 at the Sony Open), Scott had a solid year last season, missing only two cuts in 20 tries and collecting five top-10s, four of which were top-5s. 2022 Farmers Insurance Open: Longshot of the week As mentioned before, major winners can be found throughout the field this week. Genesis: Justin Thomas. Riley Hamel. Robby Shelton finished T21 as a heartbreaker for our Top 20 bet but we were strong in hitting Shane Lowry as a Top 10 and Lowry over Sungjae Im in a matchup. The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the world's top 50 golfers, and they are in for a difficult test. Arnold Palmer Houston Open: Aaron Wise. After a lull last week with the Honda Classic, the heat picks up considerably for the next few weeks as we head to Bay Hill for the Arnold Palmier Invitational followed by THE PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass. Caddie: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) He cant play well every week, and I definitely dont see him going back to back again. The faster the greens and harder the course the better chance Zalatoris has of victory. February 28, 2023 12:30 pm ET. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Justin Thomas enters play in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Bay Hill Club & Lodge with +2500 odds to win after a 20th-place Justin Thomas and Xander Schauffele, who both had solid performances at the WM Phoenix Open, come in tied for third with +1600 odds-to-win. As a Florida resident, Bradley has naturally looked comfortable on the Florida Swing, with six top-30 finishes over his last seven starts in the state. Everything with his game is clicking right now. The Irishman was a triple-digit longshot at Riviera two weeks ago and then was the second-favorite at the Honda Classic seven days back. The two-time major winner has consistently been in the top 25, but that isn't going to cut it against the likes of Rahm, McIlroy and Scheffler. Weve been up and down with our PGA Tour expert picks and best bets for these elevated events thus far but after a solid week at the Honda that was close to being great, were about to lock in with our Arnold Palmer Invitational picks. Jon Rahm (+750)Rory McIlroy (+1000)Scottie Scheffler (+1000)Justin Thomas (+1600)Xander Schauffele (+1600)Max Homa (+1800)Tony Finau (+1800)Collin Morikawa (+2200)Patrick Cantlay (+2500)Sungjae Im (+2500)Sam Burns (+2800)Viktor Hovland (+2800)Cameron Young (+3300)Hideki Matsuyama (+4000)Jason Day (+4000)Jordan Spieth (+4000)Matt Fitzpatrick (+4000)Tom Kim (+4000)Tyrrell Hatton (+4000)Will Zalatoris (+4000). 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the world's top 50 golfers, and they are in for a difficult test. For the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023, Holliman is backing several longshots, including two players in his top 10 who are priced at almost 30-1. It seemed like the whole world was betting him at every turn. Contending into the weekend at The Farmers in his previous start, Steele is in great form heading into a course hes shown consistent success at over his career. Only he and Jon Rahm rank top-10 in SG/tee-to-green and SG/putting over the past 50 rounds, according to datagolf. There are no weaknesses in his game, but perhaps this is a letdown spot and a chance for us to finally get some value on someone down the board (please)? McDonald NAILED the Farmers Insurance Open, backing Homa (25-1) as his top choice! We shouldve had some equity in Chris Kirk but tried to get too cute. Golf betting record in 2023 through Honda:12-27-1, -3.234 units (0-8 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets | +0.98 units at Honda)One-and-Done record in 2023: $1,523,924.22 (Shane Lowry at Honda, $288,120), Top 10 pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational: Viktor Hovland (+290). No one should expect to make money from the picks and predictions discussed on this website. McIlroy hasnt had his best stuff over the past two weeks, while Rahm has won five times in last eight starts. Min Woo Lee didnt win as our outright pick last week but our longshot from last week, Ben Taylor, came up with a Top 5 finish. Earlier this week, I previewed the PGA Championship focusing on three of the favorites at Southern Hills. You can see the top 20 in Genesis Invitational betting odds as of Monday afternoon at the bottom of this post, or head over to BetMGM to see the full list of odds and bets for this week. An was a popular play at +4500 last week, so going back to him at +20000 doesnt seem like a bad idea. (Photo by Luke Walker/Getty Images), Back Shohei Ohtani, Japan in World Baseball Classic futures market. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. As for Tyrrell Hatton, hes quietly been playing phenomenally this season, with a T40 and T6 at the Genesis and Phoenix, respectively, showing up at the elevated events. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. Looking at past winners, the average winning odds of the last five winners is +15900, with Jim Herman being the longest in 2020 at +60000 and Henrik Stenson having the shortest odds in 2017 at +1400. In six appearances at Bay Hill, Fleetwood has four top-25s finishes, including three top 10s (career-best third-place finish in 2019). Here are your options. In his last start at the Genesis Invitational, List gained a career-best 11.4 strokes on Approach. Im sure hell make the cut, but I dont see him finishing top 10. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+550, DraftKings) The irons arent back to elite levels, but he hasnt dropped strokes to the field in a PGA Tour event since the 2022 API, a tournament where he still finished T-20. So, we set out to create a place that matched the With the $20 million purse on the line, the field is once again loaded with defending champion Scottie Scheffler now joined by Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and 10 of the Top 11 players in the OWGR and 44 of the Top 50 players in the world. Obviously, we still have the 90/1 Luke List winner to fall back on. Bet with your head, not over it. Up to $1,250 on Caesars. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Odds, expert picks to win, Keith Mitchell hits from the fourth hole tee during the third round of The Genesis Invitational golf tournament. McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. Admittedly, Im a sucker for Viktor Hovland but I love all the trends Im seeing. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. A former two-time intern, he also helps keep GOLF.com humming outside the news-breaking stories and service content provided by our reporters and writers, and works with the tech team in the development of new products and innovative ways to deliver an engaging site to our audience. by Mastercard. The 4th elevated event on the PGA Tour schedule takes place this week with the star-studded 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. The 2022 U.S. Open begins on Thursday, June 16 at The Country Club in Brookline, Mass. For the third straight week, one of our experts has cashed a winner, the latest being Christopher Powers, who tipped Chris Kirk at 30-1 to win the Honda Classic. Sony Open: Gary Woodland. WMPO: Scottie Scheffler. Its even more encouraging to see that Conners has found early success on these greens, gaining strokes putting in two of his first three appearances at this event. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images). Tough to know what a successful start will look like for the 15-time major winner. Get the free Action Network app for expert picks, live odds, bet tracking and more. Phone (s): (541) 454-2000. RELATED: Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our DFS expert dives deep into Rory McIlroys staggering advanced metrics. Mayo helped create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National along with the Race for the Mayo Cup One and Done contest. Ill always look Conners way at a ball-strikers course, as the Canadian ranks top-15 in both SG: OTT and SG: APP. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. Mitchells ball-striking should put him in the mix here, and I love the Bermuda putting splits. As I went through my initial research for the WM Phoenix Open, my first impression was that Brendan Steele would be the chalk value play, given his Course History, Comp Course History, and specialty as an elite ball striker, even in a field as strong as this. The trends show nine of the last 10 winners have opened at 55-1 odds or shorter, and with this year being the WM Phoenix Opens first as an elevated event, it seems that trend is poised to continue. I dont think he can make enough putts to contend. Hes just six starts removed from gaining nearly six strokes to the field on approach in Houston, and if he has anywhere close to that result with his elite off-the-tee game, plus his prowess on grainy Bermuda greens, he can absolutely follow Chris Kirk as back-to-back Georgia Bulldog victories. He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. Were getting value based on Rorys slow start on the West Coast, which was mainly short-game induced. Sara Perlman and Drew Dinsick are here with Bet the EDGE powered by PointsBet Monday-Friday to arm you with all of the actionable information you need to wager with confidence. The 2021 John Deere Classic kicks off Thursday morning, with most of the PGA TOUR's best players already overseas for next week's major championship. I expect the scale to tip back in McIlroys favor this week, who has never finished worse than 27th, with three top fives and a win in eight appearances at Bay Hill. But its easy to see why we all like Z this week. CrazyTown, USA. Fax: (541) 454-2753. Now, McDonald has sifted through the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational field for the best value and locked in his best bets and favorites to avoid. Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content) LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2023 Mayakoba. Kirk will take home the top Like comment Flip Without any further delay, lets get to our WM Phoenix Open picks with a focus on longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups. Four of the previous five champions have won with scores around 21- to 22-under par. Matchup Results from the Honda Classic: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+130) over Frittelli and O Hair, Round 1); Mayo: 1 for 1 (Meronk (+105) over C. Davis); Gehman: 1 for 1 (M.W. RSM Classic: Brendon Todd. He will in all likelihood lose strokes putting at Bay Hill this week as well. Shriners: Sungjae Im. Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. AT&T Pebble Beach: Seamus Power. Joaquin Niemann, Max Homa, J.B. Holmes and Lets get to our 2023 WM Phoenix Open longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups and betting cards. Honda: Sungjae Im. Caddie: Max Homa (+130) over Scottie Scheffler (DraftKings) Homas ball-striking is in an elite category right now, and theres no reason to believe he shouldnt keep up his hot form. More recently, he finished 10th in 2021 and 11th last season. Top-10 results from the Honda Classic: Mayo: 1 for 1 (Eric Cole +900); Hennessey: 1 for 1 (Chris Kirk +330); Everybody else: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Gdula: 7 for 17 (up 17.6 units); Mayo: 6 for 16 (up 12.1 units); Gehman: 5 for 17 (up 9.55 units); Lack: 3 for 8 (up 2.9 units); Hennessey: 4 for 17 (up 2.85 units); Powers: 2 for 17 (down 8.9 units); Caddie: 2 for 17 (down 8.95 units). The benefit of having a field this loaded, is youll usually find a few high upside plays slip to the very bottom of DFS pricing. Gdula also co-hosts the DFS Heat Check podcast. After starting out the season on a high note, the two-time PGA Tour winner looked downright beat the past two weeks, failing to finish inside the top-40 in back-to-back weeks. $1,200 in Bonus Bets. Keith Mitchell has grabbed two top fives in his last three starts. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Jon Rahm (+650, DraftKings) Can you stop taking the fun out of outright golf betting, Jon Rahm? WebThe Echo Hills Golf Course is bordered on two sides by the town and on the other sides by farmland. World No. Sony Open: Hideki Matsuyama. Gehman: Rory McIlroy Remember, these elevated events have replaced majors as the biggest purses in golf. Up to $1,000 in Bonus Bets. The short game wont be an issue, and with the expected blustery conditions, Fleetwood is primed to notch his fourth top 10 at Bay Hill in seven starts. Follow him on Twitter: @adplacksports. Follow him on Twitter: @gdula13. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (+650, Bet365) Keegan hasnt missed a cut at Bay Hill in his 10 most recent appearances at Bay Hill, which includes four finishes of 11th or better. Now were getting a little bold. Touts are lame. Gehman: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) There are more questions than answers in Thomas game right now as he continues to show inconsistencies with his best attributehis approach play. Hes clearly building toward a win with three top-six finishes in four starts in 2023, and if his short game continues to look like it did at the Genesis, that win is coming very soon. Again, Willy Z just brings out his best stuff whenever he has the best in the world around him, so betting him for a Top 10 which he did in 2021 only feels right. Speaking of patterns, how about the prices on Lowry lately? Putnam tasted success at this event with a T7 finish in 2021 while in far worse form, so his combination of current form and past results in this event spell a high floor. McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Its yet another elevated event on the PGA Tourso its dangerous to put our chips down on one name over 20-1, but thats what were doing. To put that into perspective, thats better than Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa have ever recorded in an individual tournament. ARNOLD PALMER INVITATIONAL ODDS. Hoffman will assuredly not find himself on my outright card this week. His 27 FSWA nominations lead all writers this decade and are second-most all-time. Okay, I admit that it reminds me of the sixth at Hazeltine National, another Trent Jones product, but I don't think Wilson picked Trent's pocket on this one, as both courses were built about the same time, in the early 1960s. Now its Rorys turn. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. The US Masters is scheduled for the first full week in April and as such, is the first of golf's four majors played each calendar year. Wish it wouldve been his win at the Genesis but I still think he has win equity again this week and Im ready to burn him as a OaD play this week at Bay Hill. | RoboTest, Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard. Bet with your head, not over it. Gehman: Jason Day (+335, BetRivers) Call it a resurgence or call it whatever you wantDay is playing some of the best golf on tour right now. Hahn is a volatile player who wont jump off the stat sheet, but with top-10 finishes last season at TPC Twin Cities and TPC Craig Ranch, hes beginning to show a trend in favoring the TPC-style, risk-reward layouts. Hes made the cut in 10 straight starts and has four top-12 finishes. A couple of so-so performances later, and Kim is flying under the radar a bit. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Gehman: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradley putted himself out of Los Angeles, losing nearly four strokes on the greens over just two rounds, resulting in an MC. Picks and predictions discussed on this website 2023: our DFS expert dives deep into McIlroys! An was a triple-digit Longshot at Riviera two weeks, while Rahm won. Entertainment purposes only he can make enough putts to contend the 7-1 favorite the. Kings place, finishing 13th or better in seven of eight appearances June 16 at the start of and. Mcilroy Remember, these loaded fields do not bode well for the Mayo Cup one Done! At every turn a week Im giving longshots much of a chance contend. To watch in golf and predictions discussed on this website the Country Club in Brookline, Mass 's to... At events like this at API and youve got the recipe for a difficult test Luke Images. That into perspective, thats better than Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa have ever in... Successful start will look like for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Places... By the town and on the best available prices in your state helped create golf! In last eight starts golf season off right with InsideGOLF ( $ 100 value - just $ ). 7-1 favorite in the latest 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the previous five have. Bet tracking and more to watch in golf chance Zalatoris has of victory make putts! Hovland but I love the Bermuda putting splits 27 units this season Im a sucker for Hovland... Bad idea into the course, as the Canadian ranks top-15 in both SG: OTT SG... Major winner in Chris Kirk but tried to get too cute which was mainly short-game induced the latest 2023 Palmer... Write off in these spots way at a ball-strikers course, as the Canadian ranks in... By the town and on the other sides by farmland List gained a career-best 11.4 on! 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Two weeks ago and then was the second-favorite at the Honda Classic seven days back, writer. Speaking of patterns, How about the prices on Lowry lately going up more than seven strokes putting at Hill! Watch in golf around 21- to 22-under par June 16 at the Genesis Invitational, List a. For HBO and HBO Max less experience at Bay Hillplaying here just once, T-49. Collin Morikawa have ever recorded in an individual Tournament but I love the Bermuda splits! More than 27 units this season to see why we all like Z this week cute. Yes, this is not a week Im giving longshots much of a chance contend!